The World Bank in a new report released on Monday stated that efforts by governments around the world to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic with massive fiscal, monetary, and financial stimulus packages further aggravated loc-income countries’ debt stock, rising by 12 percent to a record $860 billion in 2020.
The Breton Woods institution noted that while these measures were aimed at addressing the health emergency, cushioning the impact of the pandemic on the poor and vulnerable and putting countries on a path to recovery, the resulting debt burden of the world’s low-income countries had necessitated the need for governments in the countries to embrace some fiscal options in order to grow their economies
Specifically, the report identified debt reduction, restructuring, and transparency as important to help low- income countries overcome debt challenges.
The new International Debt Statistics 2022 report stated that even prior to the pandemic, many low- and middle-income countries were in a vulnerable position, with slowing economic growth and public and external debt at elevated levels.
For instance, the report further indicated that external debt stocks of low and middle-income countries combined rose 5.3% in 2020 to $8.7 trillion.
According to the World Bank, an encompassing approach to managing debt is needed to help low- and middle-income countries assess and curtail risks and achieve sustainable debt levels.
Commenting on the increasingly worrisome rising debt stock of low and middle-income countries as reflected in the report, World Bank Group President, David Malpass, canvassed: “We need a comprehensive approach to the debt problem, including debt reduction, swifter restructuring and improved transparency.
“Sustainable debt levels are vital for economic recovery and poverty reduction”, he added.
The report also showed that deterioration in debt indicators was widespread and impacted countries in all regions.
Specifically, the report findings indicated that across all low- and middle-income countries, the rise in external indebtedness outpaced Gross National Income (GNI) and export growth. Low- and middle-income countries’ external debt-to-GNI ratio (excluding China) rose to 42% in 2020 from 37% in 2019 while their debt-to-export ratio increased to 154% in 2020 from 126% in 2019.
In a strategic response to the unprecedented challenges posed by the pandemic and at the urging of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund, in April 2020, the G20 launched the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) to provide temporary liquidity support for low-income countries. The G-20 countries agreed to extend the deferral period through the end of 2021.
In November 2020, the G20 agreed on a Common Framework for Debt Treatments beyond the DSSI, an initiative to restructure unsustainable debt situations and protracted financing gaps in DSSI-eligible countries.
Overall, in 2020, net inflows from multilateral creditors to low and middle-income countries rose to $117 billion, the highest level in a decade.
Further analysis of the debt flows showed that net debt inflows of external public debt to low-income countries rose 25% to $71 billion, also the highest level in a decade, multilateral creditors, including the IMF, provided $42 billion in net inflows while bilateral creditors accounted for an additional $10 billion.
In his remarks on the public debt trends, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist of the World Bank Group, Carmen Reinhart, said: “Economies across the globe face a daunting challenge posed by high and rapidly rising debt levels.
“Policymakers need to prepare for the possibility of debt distress when financial market conditions turn less benign, particularly in emerging market and developing economies”, he added.
Economic experts believe that greater debt transparency is critical in addressing the risks posed by rising debt in many developing countries.
To facilitate transparency, International Debt Statistics 2022 was expanded to provide more detailed and disaggregated data on external debt than ever before.
The data now gives the breakdown of a borrowing country’s external debt stock to show the amount owed to each official and private creditor, the currency composition of this debt, and the terms on which loans were extended.
For DSSI-eligible countries the dataset was expanded to include the debt service deferred in 2020 by each bilateral creditor and the projected month-by-month debt-service payments owed to them through 2021.
The World Bank will also publish soon a new Debt Transparency in Developing Economies report that takes stock of debt transparency challenges in low-income countries and lays out a detailed list of recommendations to address them.
International Debt Statistics (IDS) is a longstanding annual publication of the World Bank featuring external debt statistics and analysis for the 123 low- and middle-income countries that report to the World Bank Debt Reporting System (DRS).
