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CBN Supports Forex Market With $15.9bn In Nine Months – Analyst

An investment analyst, Ayodeji Ebo, today said that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) supported the forex market with $15.9 billion in nine months in its weekly interventions spanning April through December 2017.

He spoke at the Finance Correspondents Association of Nigeria (FICAN) Economic Outlook with theme: ‘Nigeria Economy and Financial Market Outlook: 2017 Review and 2018 Outlook’ held at the FICAN Centre, Lagos.

Ebo, who is the Managing Director, Afrinvest Securities, said that the amount represented an improvement compared to the $9.6 billion spent in the corresponding period of the preceding year.

According to him, while the Investors’ & Exporters’ Forex Window has recorded over $27.8 billion in turnover and brought about transparency and stability in the market, the current account stabilised in surplus position, expanding to $9.6 billion annualised in nine months, from $2.7 billion in fiscal year 2016.

The investment expert pointed out that foreign investors would be happy to see the interest rate remain at 14 per cent, even as the stability in the market has helped the foreign investors know that the economy is stable.

“Foreign portfolio investments provide liquidity and confidence to the market. And keeping the interest rate at 14 per cent will help keep them coming,” Ebo said.

On loans to small and medium enterprises, he said delay and outright non-payment of borrowed funds by SMEs was making it difficult for key lenders within the sector to grant further credits to operators.

While noting that only when loans are repaid on timely basis that the lender has more capacity to lend to  borrowers, the investment expert pointed out however that  inflation rate remained still higher than Monetary Policy Rate, which makes it easier for investors to go for fixed income securities like Treasury Bills, Bonds and other instruments that help them create lasting wealth.

Ebo said the year 2018 held great opportunity for investors to make money in both equities and fixed income securities, but advised investors to time their entry and exit accurately in order not to lose their funds.

According to him, there is strong correlation between oil price rise and equities performance, adding that investors always look out for profitable businesses and those with great prospects.

On the stability in the forex market, he said rate convergence has already been achieved by the CBN, adding that with low exchange rate margin, speculators have virtually abandoned the market.

“Foreign investors also consider the margin between both official and parallel market level. When there is little or no volatility in the market, that gives foreign investors’ confidence. The naira gained 35 per cent year-on-year against the dollar to close at N363 to dollar by year-end in the parallel market,” he said.

He said the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) of the Federal Government was built on five pillars, stabilize the macroeconomic environment, achieve agriculture and food security, improve transportation infrastructure, ensure energy sufficiency in power and petroleum products and drive industrialization, focusing on small and medium enterprises.

 

 

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